Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather in United States

JeffersonUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 18 July 2026 at 22:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 6 recorded within 20 km of this point since 25 April 2026 — 3 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 2:53PM MDT until July 18 at 4:00PM MDT by NWS Great Falls MT

An estimated 34,190 people live within 50 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 79 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence79%
Coordinates45.7875, -112.1725
Nearest CityButte (36 km)
Population Exposed34.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-18T20:53:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9dbd01b9d7fb0add710a78428b791132

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescBroadwater, MT; Gallatin, MT; Jefferson, MT; Madison, MT; Beaverhead, MT; Jefferson, MT; Madison, MT
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 2:53PM MDT until July 18 at 4:00PM MDT by NWS Great Falls MT
Expires2026-07-18T16:00:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Great Falls MT
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9dbd01b9d7fb0add710a78428b791132044ee777.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6566608533bc4ff7b74093af3720c046e4f6d264.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.